General • Jan 14, 2025 • 3 min read
Global Trade Dynamics: How They Affect Air and Sea Freight Markets
Global air cargo volumes are anticipated to rise by 5.8% year-on-year, reaching approximately 72.5 million tons. This growth is largely fueled by booming eCommerce and the need for rapid delivery solutions. However, capacity constraints due to limited freight availability may keep rates elevated.

Oluwakemisola Olosunde


As we enter 2025, understanding the dynamics of global trade is essential for navigating the air and sea freight markets. Current trends indicate both opportunities and challenges that will shape shipping strategies for businesses worldwide.
Key Trends Impacting Freight Markets
- Growth in Global Trade: The World Trade Organization (WTO) projects a 3% increase in global goods trade for 2025, driven by a gradual recovery from previous economic disruptions. Emerging markets in Asia, the Middle East, and South America are expected to lead this growth, presenting new opportunities for exporters and importers alike.
- Air Freight Demand Surge: Global air cargo volumes are anticipated to rise by 5.8% year-on-year, reaching approximately 72.5 million tons. This growth is largely fueled by booming eCommerce and the need for rapid delivery solutions. However, capacity constraints due to limited freight availability may keep rates elevated.
- Challenges in Sea Freight: The ocean freight market faces its own set of challenges, including potential new tariffs on imports to the U.S. and ongoing disruptions in key shipping lanes like the Red Sea. These factors could lead to increased shipping costs and longer transit times as companies adapt to changing trade policies.
- Geopolitical Uncertainty: Geopolitical tensions continue to influence trade dynamics, affecting both air and sea freight routes. The ongoing situation in the Red Sea has already led to significant diversions, impacting shipping schedules and costs
- Implications for Your Business
- Strategic Planning: With anticipated growth in trade volumes, businesses should plan shipments strategically to avoid potential delays and capitalize on emerging markets.
- Cost Management: As air freight rates remain high due to demand outpacing capacity, consider consolidating shipments or utilizing sea freight for non-urgent deliveries to manage costs effectively.
- Stay Informed: Keep abreast of geopolitical developments and tariff changes that could impact your supply chain. Proactive adjustments can mitigate disruptions.
By understanding these global trade dynamics, your business can better navigate the complexities of air and sea freight markets in 2025. Adapting your logistics strategy will be crucial for maintaining competitiveness in this evolving landscape.